The US elections of 2024
Our coverage of the race to control the White House and Congress
Latest coverage
Our new forecast for America’s presidential election
Why the polls don’t tell the whole story
Our forecast puts Kamala Harris and Donald Trump neck and neck
We relaunch our presidential-election model for a transformed race
Why the 2024 Chicago convention is not the 1968 convention
And the war in Gaza is not Kamala Harris’s Vietnam
Can Kamala Harris win Michigan without Arab-American voters?
The Democratic nominee will have tricky territory to navigate at next week’s party convention
Donald Trump plays with fire in Atlanta
Going after Georgia’s popular Republican governor will do him no good in the state
Is Tim Walz the right vice-presidential running-mate for Kamala Harris?
Progressives like him, but the presidential candidate will need to find ways to win over moderates
Republicans
How the Trump campaign has become more professional
In Pennsylvania at least, it has upped its ground game
Can Donald Trump win back suburban voters?
In Michigan, Republicans are selling a kinder, gentler Trumpism to college-educated voters. It isn’t sticking yet
Where would Donald Trump and J.D. Vance take America?
The anti-globalist MAGA enthusiast is more consequential than the average veep pick
Why MAGA is the future, not just present, of the GOP
The selection of J.D. Vance means that Donald Trump’s influence may linger
Calling Donald Trump a threat to the rule of law has backfired
It strengthened him politically and led to constitutional protections for presidents, not citizens
J.D. Vance is now the heir apparent to the MAGA movement
What Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick suggests about how he would govern
Democrats
Tim Walz’s life story is appealing, but his record is complex
Kamala Harris’s running-mate is hard to categorise
Kamala Harris introduces “Coach” Tim Walz, her trusty running-mate
As Republicans seek to brand their rivals as dangerously liberal, Democrats are matching Donald Trump’s public displays of enthusiasm
The Kamala Harris effect on the polls has been dramatic
The latest surveys point to a tightening race
Could the Kamala Harris boost put Florida in play for Democrats?
Some party enthusiasts think so, but realists see re-energised campaigning there as a savvy Florida feint
Why Kamala Harris picked Tim Walz as her running-mate
Compared with a bolder but more divisive alternative, the Minnesota governor was the easier choice
How to decode Kamala Harris’s foreign policy
Expect tougher words on Israel, and continuity on Russia and China
Lexington
The wisdom in calling Donald Trump weird
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are trying to make Democrats normal again
Donald Trump has finally got it right about the January 6th insurrectionists
They were “warriors”—that’s the problem
Politics is the law in Texas
A governor’s pardon implies that courts cannot be trusted, just as Donald Trump says
Why the Republicans will convene in a forge of American socialism
Donald Trump has made gains with Wisconsin’s working class, but Joe Biden could still win there
Joe Biden is practising some Clintonian politics
But he needs to do more than crack down on “junk fees” to woo swing voters
Truth Social is a mind-bending win for Donald Trump
And disturbing evidence of how he destabilises reality for Americans
What’s at stake
How the election will shape the Supreme Court
A second Trump administration could lock in a conservative supermajority for decades
What the Chevron ruling means for the next US president
The Supreme Court weakened regulators and created uncertainty, inviting a “tsunami of lawsuits”
How America’s presidential debates are changing this year
Will the Trump-Biden showdowns be an institution’s last gasp, or a new start?
Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead
America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast
America’s billionaires should resist the urge to support Donald Trump
A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks
The undoing of Roe v Wade has created a mighty political movement
The power of women with clipboards
Our poll tracker and forecast model
US poll tracker
Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: what the polls say
Our presidential election prediction shows Democrats back in the race
Kamala Harris is neck and neck with Donald Trump, according to our model
Newsletters
The US in brief
Our daily analysis of the US political news that matters
Checks and Balance
A weekly newsletter taking a broad look at the state of American democracy